are electric cars in danger?

In a context where the legislator is pushing more and more motorists to turn to the electric car, at the same time, the liter of gasoline is subsidized while the price of kWh is exploding.

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You may not have missed it, especially if you drive a thermal car, it is difficult to find petrol or diesel at the TotalEnergies stations at the moment. The reason ? She’s single, since Thursday 1is September, the rebate granted by the State was reduced from 18 to 30 centimes per liter of fuel.

To this is also added an aid of 20 cents from TotalEnergies until October 31, then 10 cents per liter until the end of 2022. Thus, with the two cumulative discounts, this gives us a total discount of up to 32 euro cents per litre. Prices at the pump are therefore once again similar to those of May 2021, before the price spike.

At the same time, at the end of August, the wholesale price of electricity for 2023 in France has reached 1 100 euros MWh against 85 euros a year earliera consequence of the war in Ukraine, but also of the unavailability of nuclear power plants in France.

If the aid for fuel will relieve the wallets of many French people, let’s not forget that the purchase of an electric car is also subsidized thanks to the ecological bonus. Still, despite the bonus, a new electric car, and a new car, even thermal, remains particularly expensive to buy.

An episodic phenomenon?

These decisions and these figures inevitably mark the spirits and can question the idea of ​​​​switching to electric mobility. What should curb the enthusiasm around the electric car? There is little chance. 2% in 2019, electric cars have risen to 12% of new passenger car registrations in France in the first eight months of 2022.

And even if the price of electricity goes up and the price of gasoline goes down, it is an episodic phenomenon that will not last. The pressures on thermal vehicles, between restrictions de circulation et sales ban by 2035, continue to encourage the purchase of an electric. Without forgetting the government aid mentioned above or even financing offers manufacturers, practically as attractive as on a thermal equivalence at times.

Top-ups at home always advantageous

But will the rise in the price of electricity really have an impact on the sale of electric cars in the end? Normally not, since the French should be globally protected thanks to to the tariff shield which applies, especially when we know that 80% of recharging is done at home and at work according to the National Association for the Development of Electric Mobility (Avere-France). At home, the tariff shield applies and the increase has so far been limited to 4%. The government has promised that the device will be renewed in 2023.

Tesla Model Y recharge

The increase in the bill should therefore not be so significant this winter, and even in countries which are less protected, as in England, driving an electric car will always be cheaper than petrol or diesel.

Still according to Avere-France, for a home recharge, we should stay on about two euros per 100 km (three euros in the most pessimistic case as we had seen together in our file on the advantages and disadvantages of driving an electric car), while in thermals, we remain between 12 and 16 euros depending on the performance of the cars. It should also be remembered that some suppliers offer discounted prices during “hyper off-peak” hours, late at night or early in the morning. Enough to fill up with electrons at even lower cost.

Charging at more expensive public terminals?

For operators of public charging stations, on the other hand, it is a different story. The question of increases begins to arise. Some have already moved their price in the first half of this year, like Tesla in particular, and other providers should do the same. Allego, for example, which claims more than 28,000 charging sockets in Europe, announced kWh prices increased by 15 to 20% from the beginning of September in several countries, including France.

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However, some station operators should be spared since they are not exposed in the same way to wholesale prices. For example, EDF indicates that it does not currently plan to increase the prices of public charging stations operated by its dedicated subsidiary, Izvia. However, prices could take off from 2023, as operators’ large electricity contracts are expected to expire.

A cost per use in favor of the electric car

If, today, filling up with electrons does not cost more than filling up with gasoline, this will not be the case either tomorrow and probably at least until the ban on sales of thermal models. In general, the spring oil shock attracted new buyers, and despite the discounts, customers still find the price at the pump too high. But it will be difficult to maintain the various subsidies (price at the pump and tariff shield) in the long term, whether for thermal cars, but also electric.

Some media are suggesting that recharging an electric car will cost more than refueling a thermal car from October 1 in Great Britain. But it is false and we explain to you why.
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